ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.20-33Былиняк Станислав Аркадьевич
Dr. Stanislav Bulinyak's studies the models of post-crisis development in the countries of South-East Asia and East Asia. The crisis in SEA and EA encouraged reevaluation of the East Asian model of development. The author discusses the possible alternations of the former strategy of development. He considers in what directions and to what extent these changes are possible.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.34-59Гусев Михаил Николаевич
In Dr. Mikhail Gusev's article it is stated that violence has become a constant factor of political process in South East Asia. At the same time the author underlines that this doesn't mean that the ideas of militant Islamic extremism are generally accepted everywhere in the region. It is sooner on the contrary - the majority of Muslim population of the region are the followers of moderate Islam. Although the balance of forces is in favour of the latter, the active minority which advocates extremist methods could in some cases tilt the balance to unpredictable direction, profiteering by some social and economic problems of the region.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.60-79Ефимова Лариса Михайловна
L.M. Efimova in her article marks that the total number of worldwide reported attacks dropped in 2005 to 276 compared to 329 in 2004. The drop is believed to be attributed to the increased awareness and anti piracy watches in risk prone areas, increase in law enforcement patrols and international pressure on some governments to act. Nevertheless Southeast Asia and especially Indonesia continued to record the highest number of attacks with 79 reported incidents. Though this is a drop from 94 attacks in 2004, Indonesia still accounts for nearly 30% of the worldwide incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships. The 2005 figures show a drop in the number of attacks in Malacca Straits, Malaysia and Thailand. Though the attack numbers have dropped, the international Maritime Bureau stress that many actual and attempted cases also go unreported. And as seen in the past, any let-up would see attacks quickly resume.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.80-92Колдунова Екатерина Валерьевна
The article by Ekaterina Koldunova is focused on the analysis of non-traditional security the common logic and dynamics of these aspects of security for the whole region. Some negative security trends which became apparent in 2005 were provoked by terrorist threat to the region, unsolved problems of the sea lines of communication security, evolution of the HIV/AIDs pandemia, new threats can be caused by old unsolved regional problems and, on the other hand, by the processes of globalization which requires a consolidated reaction on the regional level. However sometimes national interests of Southeastasian states contradict each other and become a significant factor of regional disintegration, which hamper the solution of transnational problems.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.93-101Курицын Михаил Вячеславович
M.Kouritsyn asserts that contrary to their expectations in 2005 SEA countries could not take advantage of China's investment boom is full. It was caused by two main reasons: 1) SEA courtiers proved to be noncompetitive as investors on the very complicated and intricate Chinese market, and 2) they could not use the long-expected special investment regime declared by both China and ASEAN. Beginning July 20, 2005 the China-ASEAN FTA Framework Agreement took in force, but investment regime liberalization was still negotiated by partners. The author pays attention to primordial low investment profile of SEA companies in China: in 2005 among all foreign enterprises investing in the PRC their share was 4,7% only, in Chinese government approved FDI - 4?6%, as well as in realized FDI - just 4,1%. Even Singaporean investors, the most successful of all SEA's ones, experience some difficulties in China due to mounting tension from the competitors - mainly Taiwanese and Western companies.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.103-110Барышникова Ольга Гавриловна
Dr. Olga Baryshnikova studies the situation in the Philippines' economy in 2005-early 2006 stressing the influence of macroeconomic figures on the realization of the course of the government aimed at reduction of the number of the poor and creating better quality of life for the Philippines' population as a whole. New official data and the IMF materials are used.
ОБОСТРЕНИЕ ОТНОШЕНИЙ ВНУТРИ И ВНЕ АСЕАН ПО «БИРМАНСКОМУ ВОПРОСУ» 2004-2005 ГГ. И НОВЫЕ ТРАЕКТОРИИ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫХ СВЯЗЕЙ МЬЯНМЫ
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.111-120Васильев Владимир Федорович
Dr. VladimirVasiliev in his article Tension in the ASEAN and around over Myanmar question and Myanmar's efforts to find new world partners describes Myanmar's present external and internal difficulties (non-admission to chairing the 2006 ASEAN meeting, economic and other sanctions imposed by the US and EU and constant criticism leveled by the West and some ASEAN countries over Myanmar delay with promised democratic reforms). This seems to have greatly fatigued Myanmar's ruling junta and it has decided to make certain changes in its foreign policy accents toward enlargement and differentiation of its international partners. As a result Myanmar established closer ties with India, renewed its broad cooperation with Russia, reestablished diplomatic relations with North Korea (in addition to long-time close ties with China). The author believes that the Myanmar junta, making these rearrangements, hopes to raise its poor international image and standing, improve and diversify economically and to rearm as far as possible.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.121-141Другов Алексей Юрьевич
Dr. Alexey Drugov in his paper Indonesia in 2005: Problems and Challenges states certain results of S.B.Yudhoyono's government in achieving political stabilization, in lessening ethnic tension. But the former problems remain, namely - a narrow basis of the President's own support in the parliament, fragmentary character of the political elite. Under these conditions two processes are under way: the gradual Islamization of the society on the one side and the growing sentiments in favor of greater role of the army, - on the other. The author underlines that in international relations contradictions are growing between Indonesia and the USA with President S. B. Yudhoyono attempting to diversify foreign political ties. It is also stressed that such destabilizing factor as territorial disputes of Indonesia with its neighbors still persists.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.142-165Иоанесян Салима Ишмурадовна
In her paper Dr. Salima Yoanesian analyses the results of the Lao PDR social-economic development during the last 30 years, the Lao PDR being proclaimed on December 2, 1975. The author also studies the realization of the five-year plan for 2001-2005. Along with that she considers the policy of the state in 2005. The results of the public process in the Republic are estimated as quite positive from the point of view of market reforms, taking of the country out of stagnation to the new economy, notwithstanding all difficulties and complicated problems of the forthcoming period. Dr. Yoanesian underlines that the idea of building of a one-party government socialist model of society in future is still valid.
ИТОГИ ПЕРВОГО ГОДА ПРАВЛЕНИЯ СУСИЛО БАМБАНГА ЮДХОЙОНО (НЕКОТОРЫЕ ПАРАЛЛЕЛИ С ПРЕЗИДЕНТСТВОМ МЕГАВАТИ СУКАРНОПУТРИ)
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2006, №9, с.166-180Куликова М.О.
Maria Kulikova focuses her attention on the results of the first year in power of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono in comparison with the presidency of his predecessor Megawati Sukarnoputri. She also assesses the prospects of the new president. To resolve great economic problems facing the country the President made majour reshuffle of the cabinet of ministers at the end of 2005.The results of the renewed government's work in 2006 will shape the prospects for the President at the next elections.