Статьи сотрудников ИВ РАН

ИНТЕГРАЦИОННЫЙ ПРОЦЕСС В ЮВА: ЭНЕРГЕТИЧЕСКИЙ АСПЕКТ

ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2008, №1, с.57-63

Объем издания: 57-63

 
A.A. Rogozhin in the report «Integration Process in SEA: Energy Dimension» ascertained, that in 2007 the problem of energy security in SEA has extremely become aggravated. Its decision could not be delayed as the situation seems to be disturbing (and in some cases even alarming) in oil-and-gas complex of the ASEAN countries themselves, as well as on the world energy market. In 10-12 years to come ASEAN countries would not be able to secure their needs from the energy resources of their own. The countries of region will be gradually compelled to increase the dependence on import, and Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand would be the first be affected. The author is of opinion that all ASEAN countries including oil and LNG exporters will become net-importers of oil and, most likely, natural gas. Growing deficiency of energy resources specifies that in long-term perspective SEA countries could not secure stable flows of energy ─ the fact making the region less attractive for investors. This circumstance, undoubtedly, has the important consequences not only for internal policy of the members of Association, but for their external economic policy and especially ─ for energy diplomacy. Both in the countries of ASEAN as well in the Association itself there is a steady opinion that its member-countries are not able to solve the problem of their national energy securite using the resources of their own only. This challenge could be accepted only at a regional level by concerted efforts of all member-states of ASEAN.

Ключевые слова: ЭКОНОМИКА, ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ, АСЕАН.