ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.53-61Колдунова Екатерина Валерьевна
E. Koldunova's article is devoted to the prospects of ASEAN security community establishment. At the 12th ASEAN Summit in Cebu, the Philippines (9-15 January, 2007) the ASEAN leaders adopted a number of documents and among them - Cebu Declaration on the Acceleration of the Establishment of an ASEAN Community by 2015. The Association plans to create an ASEAN Community basing on the three pillars: ASEAN Security Community, ASEAN Economic Community and ASEAN Socio-Cultural Community. In the theoretic studies the idea of security communities was coined by K. Deutsch in application to the Western states and initially implied an integrated group of states which share a consensus about non-use of force in the mutual relations and liberal-democratic values. The ASEAN project, taking into account the existing concepts, can nevertheless be considered an alternative model, which reflects the South-East Asian understanding of a security community.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.62-73Копылов Олег Владимирович
In article Kopylov O. studies the convincing evolution of ASEAN into a solid political and economic force in the Asia Pacific has filled the agenda of the Russia-ASEAN dialogue partnership with a new strategic substance. This fact urges both sides to accelerate in-depth mutual cooperation, especially in the area of trade and investment. Evidently, the Russia-ASEAN economic ties now fall well short of the opportunities provided by the growing national economies. This disparity is even more striking if we take a look on the successful development of our political dialogue. Both ASEAN and Russia acknowledge the problem and are eager to eliminate the obstacles to trade and investment cooperation. Mutual efforts are required to change the situation fundamentally, with results to follow in the forthcoming years.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.74-77Курицын Михаил Вячеславович
M. Kouritsyn notes that following to official Chinese recordings, SEA countries direct investment in China are much more than Chinese ones in ASEAN area ─ 40 and 1,5 US$ bln to the end of 2006). On this basis, PRC Government and Chinese businessmen strongly repudiate the charges of «investment expansion» appearing from time to time in SEA countries. But actually the picture is not so rosy and even contradictory. If one takes into account that the main part of Chinese investment comes to SEA countries via Hongkong (or Cayman and British Virgin Islands), the actual volume of Chinese direct investment in the region author believes to exceed 35 US$ bln. So really the problem of imbalance of investment flows between PRC and SEA countries is not so crucial today. Even more ─ now SEA countries are much more anxious about Chinese 'Go Global' programme: they hope for getting much more investment from PRC, their wealthy and prosperous neighbor.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.78-89Мосяков Дмитрий Валентинович
Dr. Dmitry Mosiakov in his paper «Intensification of contradictions between the US and China in South-East Asia» examines the current state of global fight for predominance in South-East Asia and the Great Eastern Asia as a whole. It is stated that quite contrary to the previous period, which was characterized by China's steady increase of its economic and political positions and consequent weakening of American influence in the region, nowadays the US has come to a principal determination to seek ways to reestablish their lost positions. With this end in view the concept was worked out to return Washington to the region with defense, political and economic aspects being incorporated in it. The implementation of this concept aimed at building up a counterbalance to possible Chinese domination, betoken new aggravation of ever evident contradictions between the greatest world powers.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.90-95Осипова Мария Григорьевна
Dr. Marina Osipova's paper entitled «Financial integration in South-East Asia» examines economic strategies of the countries of South-East Asia for the near future in the sphere of financial integration of the region. ASEAN + 3 (South Korea, Japan and China) are moving towards more open financial system. However monetary union makes such rigid requirements for co-ordination of policy and for setting up the necessary institutions, that evidently it will call for clear political will on the part of the Asian countries.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.96-105Рогожина Наталия Григорьевна
Dr. Natalya Rogojina emphasizes the importance of the incorporation of environmental interests in the strategy of development of the SEA countries, taking into account the goal of creating the new model of «green» growth. It means that industrial development of the region's countries should be orientated towards promoting the efficient us of natural resources and reducing the risk of polluting the environment with the subsequent modification of their business environment.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.107-118Васильев Владимир Федорович
Dr. Vladimir Vasiliev article is dedicated to an unusual and certainly puzzling event - the unexpected move of Myanmar's capital from Yangon (Rangoon) to a nearly unknown place deep inside the country where a new capital had been secretly built by 2006 under the name Naypyidaw. The author presumes that the military government intends to entrench its position in view of a constitutional reform it vowed in 2003 to carry out. The new administrative and military centre at Naypyidaw, being separate and isolated from the old one rich in politically active population, is looked upon by the junta as a new and unchallenged fortress of its power under the expected reform. The author also points out 10 an external aspect of the junta's actions - by going «deep» inside the country. It counts 10 minimize the effect of a real or imagined military strike by the USA against Myanmar's army regime (which the author believes unlikely under the circumstances, foremost because of me mighty Chinese factor). In general the author is doubtful about Myanmar's longterm economic, financial, organizational and, lastly, political gain from moving the capital From Rangoon, the world-known sea port to a remote god-forsaken place.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.119-148Глебов Д.
Dmitry Glebov in his article entitled «Different view of modern Burma» expresses the author's original opinion on the state of politics and the country's leaders.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.149-158Головин С.
In Golovin's S. studies considers the new developments in Thai - Japanese relations in 2006-2007. This year marks the 120-th anniversary of bilateral diplomatic relations and an official visit by the Thai Prime-Minister S.Chulanon to Japan. In the cause of the visit the Agreement on Economic Partnership between Thailand and Japan was signed which would certainly stimulate development of some Thai industries as well as bilateral relations. In this respect the author surveys economic relations between two countries and their prospects. It is stressed that some Thai NGOs voiced protests against the Agreement on the grounds that it could undermine some Thai industries.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.159-172Господынько А.А.
The article «Singapore and Indonesia in 2006» by Gospodinko A. analyzes bilateral relations of two neighboring states. The relations though sometimes difficult and tense appear to be fruitful in the areas of mutual interests like economic development. Suspicion still persists in some areas of cooperation but nevertheless it seems that bilateral relations are on the right track. Closer ties in economic and military fields are becoming a reality already. Resolution of all disputes will definitely pave the way for a successful mutual development.