ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2008, №1, с.255-276Урляпов Вячеслав Федорович
Dr. Vyacheslav Urlyapov analyses trends and outcome of the political process in the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste beyond independence. In the state much of the political energy of the first four years of independence was concentrated on putting basic democratic institutions in place. These institutions were of vital importance for the functioning of the national economy. But the period after April 2006 was characterized by extensive turmoil. The normal political process ceased to function and street violence took over as the main expression of divergent viewpoints. The trigger was discontent among parts of the armed forces and national police. It was also related to the successively deepening rift between the president, Xanana Gusmao, and the prime minister, Mari Alkatiri. Now Timor-Leste has entered a new political phase with contents largely unknown.
ТАИЛАНД: ВЫБОРЫ СОСТОЯЛИСЬ - КРИЗИС ПРОДОЛЖАЕТСЯ. ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВО СУРАЮТА ЧУЛАНОНА - ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВО САМАКА СУНТХАРАВЕТА 2007 - НАЧАЛО 2008 ГГ
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2008, №1, с.277-296Фомичева Елена Алексеевна
Dr. Elena Fomicheva in her paper makes an attempt to survey and analyze the Thai political scene, covering such events as drafting the new Constitution, the country's first referendum on the draft charter, the December 2008 general parliamentary elections and forming of a new coalition government under Samak Sundaravej, the leader of the People Power Party. The author considers a number of issues facing the Thai society, including the state of democracy in the country, the political role of the military, the fate of the monarchy, wider public political participation, etc. The author comes to the general conclusion that longstanding political crisis in Thailand is still far from being finished and in fact it could get more intense.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2008, №1, с.298-314Тюрин Владимир Александрович
Dr. Vladimir Tyurin in his paper «Emergency in the history of Malaysia» states that the 12-year-period in the history of Malaya - since 18 June 1948 till 31 June 1960- came into everyday language as The Emergency and later this term was accepted by research and media publications. In the narrow sense this word refers to the armed guerilla war, waged by the Communist Party of Malaya against the British colonizers. But, on the other hand, «The Emergency» influenced all aspects of life in Malaya (and to a great extent in Singapore) - economic, social, political, national, it was also connected with the system of international relations and the pace and ways of the country's gaining independence and choice of ideology. In this respect this term could hardly be attributed only to armed confrontation between the British army and the police on one side and communist guerillas, - on the other. The causes of «The Emergency» are still the subject of discussions. Partisan approach gave way to more balanced analyses.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.7-9Левтонова Юлия Олеговна
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.11-26Былиняк Станислав Аркадьевич
Dr. Stanislav Byliniak in his paper entitled The countries of South-East Asia: economic development before and after the crisis states that it took some time to overcome the after-effects of the financial crisis in the region, the peak of which fell on 1997-1998. But evidently 2003-2004 could be considered as a starting point of active post-crisis development. Many economists believe that post-crisis development of South-East Asian countries is going on quite successfully. But a number of analysts express certain doubts as for this. Indeed, as it easy to see the average rates of growth of practically all the South-East Asian countries fell. The corresponding data is provided in this paper. Moreover economic development is going unevenly accompanied by production slowing down. In this connection it is appropriate to put a question - is it accidental or is it a sign of changed reproduction conditions. The author attempts to answer this question. The paper also covers the specific features of economic development of certain South-East Asian countries last years.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.27-44Заказникова Евгения Петровна
Dr. Evgenia Zakaznikova in her paper entitled «Common and special in labour situation of the countries of South-East Asia» gives data on labour and evaluates its growth by 2015 as well as the situation with employment and the level of poverty in these countries. The author considers differences in labour laws in ASEAN countries and describes the activity of labour unions representing the interest of industrial workers and office employees. She examines migration policies of the countries exporting and importing work force. Special attention is paid to the efforts by the leaders of ASEAN countries to bridge the gap between the level of economic development in the countries-founders and the new members of the Association. It is stated that social and political protest of working population in a number of countries of the region is gaining momentum due to worse living conditions.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.45-52Иоанесян Салима Ишмурадовна
Dr. Salima Yoanesian analyses the situation with narcotics in South-East Asia, which immediately concerns Russia. There are two problems threatening the national security of Russia on the part of the «Golden Triangle». One is - the advent of narcotic dealers smuggling drugs from South-East Asia on Russia's soil. The second - the growing threat to Russia from major transnational narcotic mafia-type business organizations. The author studies the methods of ASEAN governments' fighting against business of drugs trafficking.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.53-61Колдунова Екатерина Валерьевна
E. Koldunova's article is devoted to the prospects of ASEAN security community establishment. At the 12th ASEAN Summit in Cebu, the Philippines (9-15 January, 2007) the ASEAN leaders adopted a number of documents and among them - Cebu Declaration on the Acceleration of the Establishment of an ASEAN Community by 2015. The Association plans to create an ASEAN Community basing on the three pillars: ASEAN Security Community, ASEAN Economic Community and ASEAN Socio-Cultural Community. In the theoretic studies the idea of security communities was coined by K. Deutsch in application to the Western states and initially implied an integrated group of states which share a consensus about non-use of force in the mutual relations and liberal-democratic values. The ASEAN project, taking into account the existing concepts, can nevertheless be considered an alternative model, which reflects the South-East Asian understanding of a security community.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.62-73Копылов Олег Владимирович
In article Kopylov O. studies the convincing evolution of ASEAN into a solid political and economic force in the Asia Pacific has filled the agenda of the Russia-ASEAN dialogue partnership with a new strategic substance. This fact urges both sides to accelerate in-depth mutual cooperation, especially in the area of trade and investment. Evidently, the Russia-ASEAN economic ties now fall well short of the opportunities provided by the growing national economies. This disparity is even more striking if we take a look on the successful development of our political dialogue. Both ASEAN and Russia acknowledge the problem and are eager to eliminate the obstacles to trade and investment cooperation. Mutual efforts are required to change the situation fundamentally, with results to follow in the forthcoming years.
ЮГО-ВОСТОЧНАЯ АЗИЯ: АКТУАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ '2007, №1, с.74-77Курицын Михаил Вячеславович
M. Kouritsyn notes that following to official Chinese recordings, SEA countries direct investment in China are much more than Chinese ones in ASEAN area ─ 40 and 1,5 US$ bln to the end of 2006). On this basis, PRC Government and Chinese businessmen strongly repudiate the charges of «investment expansion» appearing from time to time in SEA countries. But actually the picture is not so rosy and even contradictory. If one takes into account that the main part of Chinese investment comes to SEA countries via Hongkong (or Cayman and British Virgin Islands), the actual volume of Chinese direct investment in the region author believes to exceed 35 US$ bln. So really the problem of imbalance of investment flows between PRC and SEA countries is not so crucial today. Even more ─ now SEA countries are much more anxious about Chinese 'Go Global' programme: they hope for getting much more investment from PRC, their wealthy and prosperous neighbor.